Bayesian estimation of house and senate candidate WAR

code and materials for my presentation at aapor's 80th annual conference

LLM Public Opinion Polling: a curated list of papers evaluating large language models for public opinion polling.

An AI-powered research assistant that performs iterative, deep research on any topic by combining search engines, web scraping, and large language models. The goal of this repo is to provide the si…

R library to run Ollama language models

High-resolution models for human tasks.

repo for constructing a 2024 presidential election forecast

code and demo for hierarchical stacking paper

Stan models for state space time series

Variational Generalized Linear Mixed Effects Regression

A dynamic Bayesian model to forecast the 2022 U.S. midterm elections

Repository for reproducing results in structured priors MRP paper

A curated list of awesome data sources related to elections, electoral reforms, and democratic political systems.

A community-sourced data science repo.